What is risk governance?

Module 1 ยท Lesson 1 of 3

45 minLO1understand level

Learning outcomes

  • LO1 Explain risk governance and the IRGC risk governance framework, including its phases, the simple, complex, uncertain and ambiguous categories of risk problems, and the role of risk perception and evidence.

Before you start

  • Describe who manages a risk you know
  • Distinguish a government from a company

Whose levee was it?

On 29 August 2005 Hurricane Katrina came ashore on the United States Gulf Coast. In New Orleans, the storm surge and the failure of levees and floodwalls flooded about 80 percent of the city. The US National Hurricane Center's report, revised in 2023, counts 1,392 deaths linked to the storm; earlier counts had given more than 1,800. Most of the direct deaths were in Louisiana. The hazard was severe, but investigations afterwards, including a US House of Representatives select committee, found that many of the failures were failures of governance as much as engineering. The levees had been designed and built by the US Army Corps of Engineers to standards set by Congress, but were maintained by local levee boards. Funding, design standards, maintenance, evacuation planning and emergency response were spread across federal, state, parish and city bodies with different mandates, budgets and information. When the storm came, no single institution held the whole picture, and the coordination that was needed had not been agreed in advance.

The point is not to assign blame to a particular agency. It is that a risk which crosses organisational lines is governed by the rules, relationships and habits among the organisations, not only by the technical quality of any one of them. A levee that is strong on paper can fail because the people responsible for it were not responsible for the evacuation, and the people responsible for the evacuation did not know the levee's condition.

This is what risk governance studies. It asks who is involved and with what mandates, what counts as a risk worth addressing and on whose evidence, how decisions are taken, with which instruments they are carried out, and how the people who decide are held to account and learn. This lesson sets out the concept and the main questions, and the rest of the course gives you frameworks and tools to answer them.

Key terms

Risk governance
The totality of actors, rules, conventions, processes and mechanisms concerned with how risk information is collected, analysed and communicated, and how management decisions are taken.
Risk management
Coordinated activities to direct and control an organisation or system with regard to risk, as described in ISO 31000.
Mandate
The legal or formal authority and responsibility given to an institution.
Stakeholder
A person or organisation that can affect, be affected by, or perceive itself to be affected by a decision about risk.
Instrument
A tool that a government or other actor uses to influence behaviour, such as a rule, a payment, information or direct provision.
Accountability
A relationship in which an actor must explain and justify conduct to a forum, which can question it and impose consequences.

Government, governance and management

Risk governance covers the actors, rules, conventions, processes and mechanisms through which information about risk is collected, analysed and communicated, and through which decisions about risk are taken and implemented. It is broader than what a government does: companies, insurers, scientists, the media, communities and international bodies all shape how risks are handled. It is also broader than risk management, the activities within an organisation or system to identify, analyse, evaluate and treat risks, which is described in the international standard ISO 31000. Risk management operates inside a governance context that it does not control: the laws that apply, the expectations of regulators, the willingness of the public to tolerate a risk.

International frameworks have placed governance at the centre of risk reduction. Priority 2 of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015 to 2030 is "strengthening disaster risk governance to manage disaster risk", and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) adopted a Recommendation on the Governance of Critical Risks in 2014, which sets out expectations for national governments on identifying and assessing critical risks, on institutions and on communication and financing. Both texts start from the observation that the technical means to reduce many risks exist; what is often missing is the arrangement of responsibilities, incentives and accountability that puts them to use.

Government, governance and management

Government

  • Public authorities with legal mandates
  • Laws, budgets and enforcement
  • One important actor among several

Governance

  • Public, private and civil society actors
  • Formal rules and informal norms
  • How decisions are framed, taken and checked

Management

  • Activities within an organisation or system
  • Identify, analyse, evaluate and treat risks
  • Operates inside the governance context

Five families of questions

Governance questions can be grouped into five families, and the rest of this course returns to each. Who is involved, and with which mandates? Mandates may overlap, leave gaps or conflict. What counts as a risk worth addressing, and on whose evidence? Risk is framed by choices about what to measure, over what horizon and who counts as affected. How are decisions taken: by rule, by negotiation, by deliberation or by default? With which instruments are decisions implemented: regulation, money, information or direct provision? And how are decision makers held to account, and how do they learn?

The questions are also a diagnostic tool. When something goes wrong, a useful first step is to ask which family of question the failure belongs to. A warning that did not reach people is usually a "who" and "how" failure: nobody had the mandate to issue it, or the channel did not exist. A building code that was not enforced is a "with which instruments" failure. A hazard map that sat in a drawer is an "accountability and learning" failure.

Governance sits between formal institutions and informal practiceA diagram of two overlapping sets, formal institutions and informal practice, with the overlap labelled governance in practice.Governance sits between formal institutions and informal practiceFormal rulesInformal practiceGovernance
Formal rules and informal practice overlap. Governance in practice is where the two meet, which is where decisions actually happen.

Worked example (hypothetical): mapping mandates for one risk

Take a city's river flood risk and list the actors and what each is responsible for. The national water agency sets flood hazard maps and design standards. The provincial government funds embankments within its territory. The city council controls land use and building permits. The utility owns pumping stations. The civil protection agency issues evacuation orders on request of local authorities. The meteorological service issues weather warnings but not flood warnings. The river basin organisation coordinates reservoir releases. Seven actors, each with a different mandate.

Now build a simple responsibility matrix with the five activities of managing the flood: assess (know the hazard), prevent (reduce the hazard or exposure), prepare (warning, plans, drills), respond (evacuate, rescue) and recover (rebuild). For each activity, mark which actors are responsible with a R (responsible), S (supports) or leave blank.

Suppose the analysis shows that assess has two responsible actors (the water agency and the meteorological service) whose maps and forecasts are not combined; prevent has three (provincial government, city council, utility) with no one responsible for the whole; prepare has one (civil protection) who depends on the other two for information; respond has one; and recover has none, because reconstruction is funded by a national ministry that is not on the list. Counting cells: of the 5 activities, 1 has a clear single owner, 2 have fragmented ownership, 1 depends on others' information, and 1 has no owner. That is 20 percent clear ownership. The exercise does not tell you what to do, but it tells you where to look: the gaps and overlaps are where failures of governance occur.

Ownership of five flood management activities (hypothetical)A stacked bar of five activities by ownership pattern: one clear owner, two fragmented, one dependent on others and one with no owner.Ownership of five flood management activities (hypothetical)Single clear ownerFragmented ownershipDepends on others' informationNo ownerFive flood managementactivities121150246ActivitiesHypothetical data, for teaching
Hypothetical result of the mapping in the worked example. Only one of five activities has a single clear owner; one has none.

Interactive

Which family of governance question is this failure?

Place each failure under the family of governance question it mainly raises.

No agency having the mandate to issue a flood warning is a "who" failure. Leaving a risk off a register because nobody measured it, and not counting informal settlements as exposed, are "what" failures about what counts as a risk and who is affected. A dispute between levels of government that delayed evacuation is a "how" failure about how decisions are taken. A code that was never inspected, and insurance premiums that do not reflect risk, are "instrument" failures. A hazard map left unpublished with no consequence for anyone is an accountability and learning failure. Real failures usually involve several families, but naming the main one points to the remedy.

Activity 5 min

Check your understanding 1

  1. In the worked example, suppose the reconstruction ministry is added as a responsible actor for recover, and the water agency and the meteorological service agree a joint flood forecast, so that assess has a single owner. What share of the five activities now has a single clear owner?
  2. Which family of governance question does the Katrina levee case mainly raise, and why?

Deliverable: A calculation and a short answer.

Answers. With assess and recover now clearly owned, plus respond, three of five activities have a single clear owner, or 60 percent. Fragmentation remains in prevent and dependence in prepare. The Katrina case raises mainly the who and how questions: responsibility for design, maintenance and evacuation was split across bodies with no single holder of the whole picture, and the coordination had not been agreed in advance. It also raises accountability: afterwards, investigations asked who should have known the condition of the levees.

Why governance matters more as systems become connected

Governance matters most where risks cross boundaries. A flood that starts in one province and peaks in another, a pandemic that moves between countries, a cyber attack that spreads through suppliers, a power failure that stops water pumping: each falls between the mandates of institutions designed for single sectors or territories. Many of the great failures of risk management of recent decades have been failures of such "between" spaces. This is the territory that the Nexus lens, taught in the last module, is designed to cover. For now it is enough to say that the frameworks you meet in the next lessons are tools for seeing the whole arrangement, not only its parts.

Applying the five questions to a familiar risk

The five families of questions are easiest to understand when they are applied to a risk that most readers know, such as flooding from a river. On who, the answer is rarely a single organisation. A national water agency, a weather service, provincial and municipal governments, utilities, insurers, emergency services, landowners, community groups and the households themselves all take decisions that shape the outcome. On what, a flood risk assessment has to choose a return period to plan for, a boundary of the area to study and the assets and people to count, and each choice excludes something. On how, there are procedures for approving development in a floodplain, for issuing warnings, for declaring an emergency and for releasing funds, and the speed and clarity of these procedures matter as much as their content.

On instruments, governments choose among building codes, land use zones, taxes, subsidies, insurance rules, information campaigns and public works, and the combination in use is usually the product of history more than design. On accountability, the question is who must explain a decision to leave an area unprotected, to whom, and with what consequence. Stated this way, the questions turn a vague complaint such as "flood management is poor" into a set of specific, checkable statements. Each can be answered with documents, interviews and data, and each leads to a different kind of remedy.

The five families of governance questions applied to river flooding
FamilyQuestionExample for river floodingEvidence to look for
WhoWhich actors have which mandates?Water agency, weather service, province, municipality, utility, householdsStatutes, decrees, organisation charts, interviews
WhatWhat counts as the risk and on whose evidence?Choice of return period, study area, assets and people countedHazard maps, assessment methods, exposure data
HowHow are decisions framed, taken and implemented?Rules for floodplain permits, warnings, emergency declarations, release of fundsProcedures, timelines, after-action reports
InstrumentsWhich tools change behaviour?Codes, zoning, subsidies, insurance rules, embankmentsBudgets, inspection records, take-up data
AccountabilityWho answers to whom, with what consequence?A decision to leave an area unprotectedAudit reports, parliamentary questions, court cases

Case study

Bangladesh and the Cyclone Preparedness Programme

Bangladesh sits at the head of the Bay of Bengal, one of the places in the world most exposed to tropical cyclones and storm surges. In 1970 a cyclone and storm surge in what was then East Pakistan killed several hundred thousand people, among the deadliest disasters of the twentieth century. In 1972, after independence, the national Red Cross society, now the Bangladesh Red Crescent Society, established the Cyclone Preparedness Programme (CPP) with the support of the League of Red Cross Societies. The government later joined it, and it became a joint programme of the government and the society. It recruits and trains volunteers in coastal communities to receive warnings from the national meteorological service and relay them, by flag signals, megaphones and later radio and mobile phones, to the people, and to help them reach shelters.

Over the following decades the country built many cyclone shelters, improved forecasting with the help of satellites and international cooperation, and expanded the volunteer network. The Bangladesh Red Crescent Society reports about 76,000 volunteers, half of them women. Cyclones of similar severity to the one in 1970, such as those of 1991, 2007 (Sidr) and 2020 (Amphan), killed far fewer people, with the decline in deaths widely attributed to the combination of forecasts, warnings relayed by volunteers, shelters and evacuation.

For governance, the programme's features are instructive. It was set up by agreement between a government agency and a civil society organisation with complementary strengths; it had a clear mandate and a volunteer structure that reached every community; it linked a technical warning to a social network; and it was sustained over decades. It is sometimes held up as an example of what Sendai Priority 2 means in practice.

Discussion

  1. Which governance features made the difference, and which of the five families of governance question does each address?
  2. What would the arrangement need to survive a long period of low funding or a change of government?
  3. Which similar arrangement exists, or could exist, for a risk in your own context?

Activity 15 min

Check your understanding 2

  1. Choose one risk in your context, such as urban flooding, extreme heat, landslides or an industrial hazard.
  2. List the actors involved and build a responsibility matrix with the five activities (assess, prevent, prepare, respond, recover).
  3. Mark each cell R, S or blank, and count the empty, single and crowded rows.
  4. Write the three questions the matrix raises.

Deliverable: A matrix and three questions, which feeds section 2 of your practicum governance review.

What a strong answer looks like. A strong matrix names specific institutions, not "the government", and distinguishes legal responsibility from actual practice. The best answers admit where they are unsure who is responsible, since that uncertainty is itself a finding. The three questions should point to evidence you could look for, such as a law, a budget line or an interview.

Summary

  • Risk governance is broader than government and broader than risk management; it covers actors, rules, processes and mechanisms across public, private and civil society.
  • Sendai Priority 2 and the OECD Recommendation place governance at the centre of risk reduction.
  • Governance asks who is involved, what counts as a risk, how decisions are taken, with which instruments and with what accountability.
  • A responsibility matrix is a simple diagnostic that shows gaps, overlaps and dependencies.

Further reading

  • OECD (2014). Recommendation of the Council on the Governance of Critical Risks. OECD, Paris. open
  • UNDRR (2015). Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030. Source open
  • US House of Representatives Select Bipartisan Committee (2006). A Failure of Initiative: Final Report of the Select Bipartisan Committee to Investigate the Preparation for and Response to Hurricane Katrina. US Government Printing Office, Washington, DC. open

Downloads for this lesson

  • slides Module 1 slides. Foundations of risk governance Slide outline for the three lessons of Module 1.
  • worksheet Lesson 1 worksheet Four questions on risk governance and the responsibility matrix, with an answer key.
  • glossary Course glossary Every key term in the course, alphabetical, with the lesson where it is introduced.

Downloads open for enrolled learners in the course.